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TOPEKA, Kan. (AP) — Republicans made claims about illegal voting by noncitizens a centerpiece of their 2024 campaign messaging and plan to push legislation in the new Congress requiring voters to provide proof of U.S. citizenship. Yet there's one place with a GOP supermajority where linking voting to citizenship appears to be a nonstarter: Kansas. That's because the state has been there, done that, and all but a few Republicans would prefer not to go there again. Kansas imposed a proof-of-citizenship requirement over a decade ago that grew into one of the biggest political fiascos in the state in recent memory. The law, passed by the state Legislature in 2011 and implemented two years later, ended up blocking the voter registrations of more than 31,000 U.S. citizens who were otherwise eligible to vote. That was 12% of everyone seeking to register in Kansas for the first time. Federal courts ultimately declared the law an unconstitutional burden on voting rights, and it hasn't been enforced since 2018. Kansas provides a cautionary tale about how pursuing an election concern that in fact is extremely rare risks disenfranchising a far greater number of people who are legally entitled to vote. The state’s top elections official, Secretary of State Scott Schwab, championed the idea as a legislator and now says states and the federal government shouldn't touch it. “Kansas did that 10 years ago,” said Schwab, a Republican. “It didn’t work out so well.” Steven Fish, a 45-year-old warehouse worker in eastern Kansas, said he understands the motivation behind the law. In his thinking, the state was like a store owner who fears getting robbed and installs locks. But in 2014, after the birth of his now 11-year-old son inspired him to be “a little more responsible” and follow politics, he didn’t have an acceptable copy of his birth certificate to get registered to vote in Kansas. “The locks didn’t work,” said Fish, one of nine Kansas residents who sued the state over the law. “You caught a bunch of people who didn’t do anything wrong.” Kansas' experience appeared to receive little if any attention outside the state as Republicans elsewhere pursued proof-of-citizenship requirements this year. Arizona enacted a requirement this year, applying it to voting for state and local elections but not for Congress or president. The Republican-led U.S. House passed a proof-of-citizenship requirement in the summer and plans to bring back similar legislation after the GOP won control of the Senate in November. In Ohio, the Republican secretary of state revised the form that poll workers use for voter eligibility challenges to require those not born in the U.S. to show naturalization papers to cast a regular ballot. A federal judge declined to block the practice days before the election. Also, sizable majorities of voters in Iowa, Kentucky, Missouri, Oklahoma, South Carolina and the presidential swing states of North Carolina and Wisconsin were inspired to amend their state constitutions' provisions on voting even though the changes were only symbolic. Provisions that previously declared that all U.S. citizens could vote now say that only U.S. citizens can vote — a meaningless distinction with no practical effect on who is eligible. To be clear, voters already must attest to being U.S. citizens when they register to vote and noncitizens can face fines, prison and deportation if they lie and are caught. “There is nothing unconstitutional about ensuring that only American citizens can vote in American elections,” U.S. Rep. Chip Roy, of Texas, the leading sponsor of the congressional proposal, said in an email statement to The Associated Press. After Kansas residents challenged their state's law, both a federal judge and federal appeals court concluded that it violated a law limiting states to collecting only the minimum information needed to determine whether someone is eligible to vote. That's an issue Congress could resolve. The courts ruled that with “scant” evidence of an actual problem, Kansas couldn't justify a law that kept hundreds of eligible citizens from registering for every noncitizen who was improperly registered. A federal judge concluded that the state’s evidence showed that only 39 noncitizens had registered to vote from 1999 through 2012 — an average of just three a year. In 2013, then-Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach, a Republican who had built a national reputation advocating tough immigration laws, described the possibility of voting by immigrants living in the U.S. illegally as a serious threat. He was elected attorney general in 2022 and still strongly backs the idea, arguing that federal court rulings in the Kansas case “almost certainly got it wrong.” Kobach also said a key issue in the legal challenge — people being unable to fix problems with their registrations within a 90-day window — has probably been solved. “The technological challenge of how quickly can you verify someone’s citizenship is getting easier,” Kobach said. “As time goes on, it will get even easier.” The U.S. Supreme Court refused to hear the Kansas case in 2020. But in August, it split 5-4 in allowing Arizona to continue enforcing its law for voting in state and local elections while a legal challenge goes forward. Seeing the possibility of a different Supreme Court decision in the future, U.S. Rep.-elect Derek Schmidt says states and Congress should pursue proof-of-citizenship requirements. Schmidt was the Kansas attorney general when his state's law was challenged. "If the same matter arose now and was litigated, the facts would be different," he said in an interview. But voting rights advocates dismiss the idea that a legal challenge would turn out differently. Mark Johnson, one of the attorneys who fought the Kansas law, said opponents now have a template for a successful court fight. “We know the people we can call," Johnson said. “We know that we’ve got the expert witnesses. We know how to try things like this.” He predicted "a flurry — a landslide — of litigation against this.” Initially, the Kansas requirement's impacts seemed to fall most heavily on politically unaffiliated and young voters. As of fall 2013, 57% of the voters blocked from registering were unaffiliated and 40% were under 30. But Fish was in his mid-30s, and six of the nine residents who sued over the Kansas law were 35 or older. Three even produced citizenship documents and still didn’t get registered, according to court documents. “There wasn’t a single one of us that was actually an illegal or had misinterpreted or misrepresented any information or had done anything wrong,” Fish said. He was supposed to produce his birth certificate when he sought to register in 2014 while renewing his Kansas driver's license at an office in a strip mall in Lawrence. A clerk wouldn't accept the copy Fish had of his birth certificate. He still doesn't know where to find the original, having been born on an Air Force base in Illinois that closed in the 1990s. Several of the people joining Fish in the lawsuit were veterans, all born in the U.S., and Fish said he was stunned that they could be prevented from registering. Liz Azore, a senior adviser to the nonpartisan Voting Rights Lab, said millions of Americans haven't traveled outside the U.S. and don't have passports that might act as proof of citizenship, or don't have ready access to their birth certificates. She and other voting rights advocates are skeptical that there are administrative fixes that will make a proof-of-citizenship law run more smoothly today than it did in Kansas a decade ago. “It’s going to cover a lot of people from all walks of life,” Avore said. “It’s going to be disenfranchising large swaths of the country.” Associated Press writer Julie Carr Smyth in Columbus, Ohio, contributed to this report.Bucs with Bowles on the plays that mattered in critical overtime win over PanthersWith shares up by 41% since Nov. 5, Palantir Technologies ( PLTR 8.54% ) straddles two massive stock market hype cycles: generative AI and the Trump presidency. Let's explore how these potential opportunities could play out for the data analytics company in 2025 and beyond. AI before it was cool While AI surged into the mainstream with the launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT in late 2022, Palantir has been working on a somewhat related technology, big data analytics, since its founding in 2003. This field involves processing vast amounts of information to uncover trends, patterns, and other actionable insights. It can help organizations detect fraud, optimize workflows, or detect potential threats. Big data analytics can be considered a precursor to large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT. And Palantir quickly added generative AI capabilities to its legacy platforms to help them work faster and deliver real-time insights. These features are particularly useful for military and law enforcement clients, where Palantir's software can help operators identify and get information about real-time threats during missions. Palantir is already using AI to assist the Ukrainian armed forces with military targeting during its war with Russia. And in June, the company partnered with Israel to work on combat-related technology. The Trump effect Palantir's high-stakes business model makes it easy to hype it. However, Donald Trump's victory seems to have sent things into hyperdrive. Judging by the stock's 41% rally since Nov. 5, many investors see the new administration as a potential growth catalyst. In the third quarter, Palantir earned $320 million (around 44% of all sales) from U.S. government clients, including the Department of Defense and the Department of Homeland Security. During the previous Trump administration, Palantir played an important role in immigration policy, assisting Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) with deportations. The new administration plans to ramp up these efforts, with Trump himself promising the largest deportation in U.S. history. That said, it remains unclear how much Trump's agenda will actually benefit Palantir, which works with ICE through a software-as-a-service (SaaS) contract called Falcon. According to the news website Business Insider, the company only earned $127 million from the contract between 2013 and 2022, coming out to roughly $14 million per year. That's a drop in the bucket for a company guiding for sales of around $2.8 billion this year. Business Insider also reports that ICE is working on replacing Falcon with a custom-built tool called RAVEn , which will mine publicly available data, unlike Falcon, which works with data already in the agency's possession. And while previous Republican presidents have generally pursued a hawkish foreign policy, Trump signaled that he would like to see the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East wind down. Palantir investors probably shouldn't bet on a surge in military spending in 2025. Do Palantir's fundamentals justify its price tag? Third-quarter revenue grew 30% year over year to $726 million, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization jumped 39% to $283.6 million (this figure adds back $142.4 million in stock-based compensation ). While these results are decent, they are not outstanding -- and certainly not good enough to justify the stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio of 158. For context, the S&P 500 has an average forward PE estimate of 24, while AI industry leader Nvidia trades for just 30 times expected earnings despite growing its top line by 94% in its most recent quarter. Palantir's valuation is out of touch with its fundamentals. And Trump's presidency probably won't juice the company's growth potential as much as the market seems to believe. Investors should expect its shares to come back down to earth in 2025.
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